My Account Log Out

reorder

Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.

With an exceptional 19.4% Red Zone Target Share (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Jerry Jeudy stands among the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 63.9% to 57.6%.

The Green Bay Packers defense has given up the 5th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.89 per game since the start of last season.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Green Bay's group of CBs has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

More Jerry Jeudy Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™