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Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+445/-690).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -620 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -690.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.

Jerry Jeudy rates in the 82nd percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 55.0 figure this year.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the league versus the Steelers defense this year (72.2% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.

Jerry Jeudy has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).

The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 63.9% to 47.6%.

The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Jerry Jeudy Player Props

Jerry Jeudy TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17