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Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+385/-570).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -560 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -570.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

Jerry Jeudy ranks in the 81st percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 55.0 figure this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher run volume.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

After accumulating 95.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has produced significantly fewer this year, currently pacing 78.0 per game.

In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

More Jerry Jeudy Player Props

Jerry Jeudy TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16