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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -430.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Browns, who are heavy -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 137.6 plays on offense called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • While Jerry Jeudy has accounted for 17.6% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Cleveland's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 24.7%.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 56.3 figure this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the league vs. the Bears defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.7 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 95.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has been a disappointment this year, now pacing 80.0 per game.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Browns profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 46.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.9% mark.

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