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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+540/-920).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -670 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -920.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.1 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • With a high 19.6% Red Zone Target% (81st percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy ranks among the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • Jerry Jeudy ranks in the 84th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 59.0 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Jerry Jeudy has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).
  • The Browns offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 44.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.9% mark.

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