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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+445/-530).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +445 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +445.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -4-point underdog in this game.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • With an extraordinary 19.6% Red Zone Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy ranks among the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 58.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 84th percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.3 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Jerry Jeudy has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 45.7% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a material reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.9% mark.

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