My Account Log Out
 
 
Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.8% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
  • In this week's game, Jerry Jeudy is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.2 targets.
  • This year, the porous Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 5.3 mark.
  • Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 63.9% to 46.1%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™