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Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a monstrous 62.6 per game on average).

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Jerry Jeudy to total 6.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

This year, the weak Steelers pass defense has given up a colossal 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (57.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cleveland Browns.

The predictive model expects the Browns to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Jerry Jeudy has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this year (18.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.6%).

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Jerry Jeudy's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 5.3 rate.

More Jerry Jeudy Player Props

Jerry Jeudy ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 6