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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 93.2% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 63.9% to 57.6%.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Green Bay's group of CBs has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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