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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 6.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 2.5 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 5.3 rate.

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