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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.1 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The leading projections forecast Jerry Jeudy to garner 6.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Browns offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Jerry Jeudy's receiving talent has worsened this season, notching just 2.8 adjusted receptions compared to 5.3 last season.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 44.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.9% mark.

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