My Account Log Out
 
 
Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -4-point underdog in this game.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.6% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jerry Jeudy to garner 7.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.3 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Jerry Jeudy's receiving skills have diminished this season, accumulating a measly 3.0 adjusted catches vs 5.3 last season.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 45.7% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a material reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.9% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™