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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • The predictive model expects Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 6.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 2.5 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a noteable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 5.3 mark.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 44.1% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a substantial decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.9% rate.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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