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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.8% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
  • In this week's game, Jerry Jeudy is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.2 targets.
  • This year, the porous Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • Jerry Jeudy has notched quite a few less air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).
  • Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 63.9% to 46.1%.

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