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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-109/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 64.7 per game on average).
  • With an elite 92.1% Route Participation% (89th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy ranks among the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • The model projects Jerry Jeudy to notch 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jerry Jeudy has notched a colossal 98.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.6%) versus wide receivers this year (73.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see only 126.9 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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