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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 93.2% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 63.9% to 57.6%.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Green Bay Packers defense has allowed a meager 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-best in the NFL.

The Packers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Green Bay's group of CBs has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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