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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
  • Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • The predictive model expects Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 6.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus WRs this year, conceding 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • After averaging 95.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has been a disappointment this year, currently pacing 84.0 per game.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 69.0 mark.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 44.1% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a substantial decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.9% rate.

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