Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Jerry Jeudy is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.2 targets.
Jerry Jeudy has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
In regards to air yards, Jerry Jeudy ranks in the towering 90th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a superb 88.0 per game.
Jerry Jeudy has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 60.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Jerry Jeudy's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this season, averaging 9.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.82 rate last season.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 60.1 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Denver Broncos have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 67.4% to 63.3%.
Jerry Jeudy's 8.2 adjusted yards per target this season shows a a significant decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.4 mark.