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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accrue 6.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been among the best WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 7.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 58.4 plays per game.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (62.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (77.4%).
  • Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 70.0% to 43.1%.
  • Jerry Jeudy's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 6.46 yards-per-target vs a 8.66 figure last season.

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