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Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+105/-145).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 79.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among WRs.THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.Jerry Jeudy has been responsible for a colossal 25.2% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wideouts.Jerry Jeudy has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 50.0 yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.The Houston Texans pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.10 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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