Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Jerry Jeudy has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 21.3% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Jerry Jeudy's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 66.0%.
Jerry Jeudy's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, compiling just 5.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.34 mark last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 130.0) to wide receivers this year.

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