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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+279/-476).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -458 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -476.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

Jerry Jeudy has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.

Jerry Jeudy has accrued far more air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

Jerry Jeudy's 52.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 81st percentile for WRs.

The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.

Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 47.7%.

The New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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