Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-299).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +208 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Jerry Jeudy has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.6% this year, which places him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Jerry Jeudy has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (79.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

Favors Under

Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 70.0% to 63.4%.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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