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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-1850).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.
  • Jerome Ford has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 11.4% this year, which ranks him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jerome Ford's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 87.8% to 90.9%.
  • Jerome Ford has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in football when it comes to RBs (1st percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • Jerome Ford has posted a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.
  • With a very bad rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Jerome Ford has been as one of the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, New England's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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