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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.1 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Jerome Ford has not run for any TDs this year.
  • This year, the weak 49ers pass defense has allowed a whopping 86.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • While Jerome Ford has received 10.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Cleveland's passing attack near the end zone in this game at 5.3%.
  • When talking about air yards, Jerome Ford ranks in the paltry 19th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.
  • The Browns offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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