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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-5500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1650 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • The rushing TD column reads "0" on Jerome Ford's box scores this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.5 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • While Jerome Ford has been responsible for 10.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 5.9%.
  • In regards to air yards, Jerome Ford grades out in just the 17th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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