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Jerome Ford
NFL · Player Props
Jerome Ford
RB · Cleveland Browns
Touchdowns
Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 11, 2025 Updated Nov 16, 2025 8:27 PM UTC
NFL Props Jerome Ford Touchdowns

Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-1800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +840 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +810.

Favors Over
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.
  • With a 59.5% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Browns.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year.
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 24-mph being called for in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jerome Ford to be a less important option in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (5.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.4% in games he has played).
  • Jerome Ford has accumulated a puny -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 19th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Browns ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
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