Jerome Ford Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 5:47 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1050.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
Jerome Ford has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.8% this year, which ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a terrific 88.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford ranks among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
Jerome Ford has not rushed for any touchdowns this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jerome Ford has totaled a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile among running backs.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
This year, Jerome Ford has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.

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