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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1050.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
  • Jerome Ford has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.8% this year, which ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a terrific 88.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford ranks among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
  • Jerome Ford has not rushed for any touchdowns this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Jerome Ford has totaled a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile among running backs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, Jerome Ford has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.

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