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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 64.7 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the weak Dolphins run defense has allowed a massive 173.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the worst in the NFL.
  • The Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 6th-worst group of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see only 126.9 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Jerome Ford has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this year (12.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (31.0%).
  • Jerome Ford has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (11.0) this year than he did last year (37.0).
  • Jerome Ford's ground effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 3.86 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.92 mark last season.

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