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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

With a remarkable record of 4.75 adjusted yards per carry (80th percentile), Jerome Ford ranks among the leading pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to run on 35.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While Jerome Ford has garnered 30.1% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland's running game in this game at 12.6%.

Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 93.0 per game) vs. the Packers defense since the start of last season.

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