Jerome Ford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 3, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.
Jerome Ford's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.62 mark last season.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to run on 35.9% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.
Jerome Ford has been much less involved in his team's run game this season (27.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.1%).
Jerome Ford has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (43.0).

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