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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Jerome Ford's 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a material improvement in his running talent over last year's 3.6 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 5th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

After accounting for 41.1% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Jerome Ford has been called on less the ground game this year, currently sitting at just 30.1%.

This year, the daunting Steelers run defense has allowed a meager 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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