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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns offense to be the 3rd-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.70 seconds per play.
  • Jerome Ford has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.2% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jerome Ford grades out as one of the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging a stellar 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • Jerome Ford's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 87.8% to 90.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.

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