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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a huge 10-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns to call the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Lions safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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