Jerome Ford Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 58.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
Jerome Ford has run a route on 50.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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