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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 64.7 per game on average).
  • Jerome Ford's 40.8% snap rate this season represents an impressive drop-off in his offensive utilization over last season's 54.8% figure.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (47.0) to RBs this year.
  • This year, the porous Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Browns as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see only 126.9 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.
  • Jerome Ford has accumulated a measly -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile among RBs.

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