|
|
Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.Jerome Ford has run a route on 48.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.In regards to air yards, Jerome Ford grades out in the lowly 25th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -1.0 per game.Jerome Ford's 2.9 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a material decline in his receiving ability over last season's 5.2 rate.Since the start of last season, the daunting Packers defense has yielded a feeble 81.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-lowest rate in football.Since the start of last season, the daunting Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a measly 5.7 yards.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
