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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Browns, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.6 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.1 per game) this year.
  • This year, the poor Baltimore Ravens defense has been torched for a monstrous 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cleveland Browns.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Jerome Ford has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (35.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (48.5%).
  • Jerome Ford has accumulated a puny -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 19th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Browns ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.

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