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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
  • With a terrific 88.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford ranks among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
  • The Jets pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus running backs this year, giving up 6.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New York's group of LBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Jerome Ford has run fewer routes this year (37.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.5%).
  • Jerome Ford has totaled a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile among running backs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jerome Ford's 9.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a remarkable decline in his receiving skills over last season's 15.0 rate.

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