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Jerick McKinnon
NFL · Player Props
Jerick McKinnon
RB · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 12, 2023 11:16 PM EST
NFL Props Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

Favors Over
  • Right now, the most pass-heavy team in football (69.3% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.
  • Jerick McKinnon's 13.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a a meaningful improvement in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 9.1% mark.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (45.0) to running backs this year.
  • The Broncos pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against running backs this year, surrendering 7.68 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Favors Under
  • The Chiefs are a heavy 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) typically mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Broncos, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.4 per game) this year.
  • Jerick McKinnon has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (33.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (48.5%).
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