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Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 68.5% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

This year, the deficient San Francisco 49ers defense has been torched for a whopping 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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