Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Jerick McKinnon has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (41.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (22.3%).
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Jerick McKinnon has totaled substantially more receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jerick McKinnon has accrued a mere -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. running backs this year, allowing 5.00 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.70 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

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