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Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jerick McKinnon to earn 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Jerick McKinnon has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this year (11.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in football.

Jerick McKinnon's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.0% to 81.0%.

Jerick McKinnon's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a mere 7.56 yards-per-target vs a 9.20 rate last year.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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