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Jeremy Ruckert

Jeremy Ruckert Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jeremy Ruckert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-172/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's 85.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 66.4% mark.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.3%) versus tight ends this year (77.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (54.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Patriots linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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