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Jeremy Ruckert

Jeremy Ruckert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jeremy Ruckert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Brady Cook.
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 135.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.2 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Jeremy Ruckert to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this week's contest (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-heavy team in the league (54.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jets.
  • The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.67 figure last season.
  • This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a mere 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 7.13 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

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