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Jeremy Ruckert

Jeremy Ruckert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jeremy Ruckert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's 90.9% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a remarkable improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 66.4% rate.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's 8.4 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a substantial progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 3.9 mark.
  • The New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (62.0) versus tight ends this year.
  • This year, the porous Patriots pass defense has surrendered a whopping 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • With a subpar 12.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (24th percentile) this year, Jeremy Ruckert has been among the weakest pass-game tight ends in the NFL.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a substantial reduction in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 4.7% mark.

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