My Account Log Out
 
 
Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to garner 13.5 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (48.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (29.6% in games he has played).
  • Jeffery Wilson has grinded out 51.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (83rd percentile).
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the 7th-worst unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 116.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 61.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 105 per game) against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™