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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jeff Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

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