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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Jeff Wilson has totaled a monstrous 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Buffalo Bills defense has been torched for a colossal 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 4th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).
  • With a bad 4.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) last year, Jeff Wilson places as one of the best pass-catching RBs in the league in picking up extra yardage.

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