J.D. McKissic Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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J.D. McKissic

NFL · Player Props

J.D. McKissic

RB · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

J.D. McKissic Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-128/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects J.D. McKissic to accumulate 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
J.D. McKissic has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 14.1% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
J.D. McKissic has been among the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 4.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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